One of the bigger drawbacks to the whole open source movement was the inroads that it made on -surprise- people like me that made a good living selling software they wrote.
For every package on the windows platform there were suddenly 3 or more competitors available, 90% feature complete in a race to the bottom for marketshare, which they all got and then suddenly figured out they had to make money somehow.
And then they imploded, but the damage to the market was done, everybody expected 'free'.
Apple has bucked that trend to some extent, but I don't think this was a reversible process, all software, including operating systems and so on, with the exception of niche code and in-house software for deployment in a company, some firmware or as a back-end for a service will be free. And even some of the latter will be free (see 'reddit').
So, I changed tack, way ahead of the pack I aimed at a service driven income stream rather than selling bits of software.
My then partner Michael saw it coming with great clarity and together with another guy called Paul (who was founder of one of the first ISPs in NL) they changed my future in a fairly dramatic way.
So if you haven't seen the elephant yet, maybe you need a higher ladder, but he's coming for sure. None of the 'old' ways of making money can be taken for granted. Read 'being digital' by Nicholas Negroponte if this hasn't convinced you.
It's old (by internet standards) but it is in many ways a visionary book. Far more so than Gates' 'the road ahead'.
I understand what you're saying, but I'm not sure it will play out exactly that way. So many movies/songs were being copied that some people were speculating that no one would be willing to pay for movies/songs at some point.
Then iTunes came along and showed that actually people just wanted (a) to not pay such a rediculous amount and (b) to be able to conveniently get the product. $15 for a CD that has just one song I want? Nah, I'll just download it. $1 for exactly the song I want and I don't have to mess around with torrents and shady software and sites? Done deal.
For every package on the windows platform there were suddenly 3 or more competitors available, 90% feature complete in a race to the bottom for marketshare, which they all got and then suddenly figured out they had to make money somehow.
And then they imploded, but the damage to the market was done, everybody expected 'free'.
Apple has bucked that trend to some extent, but I don't think this was a reversible process, all software, including operating systems and so on, with the exception of niche code and in-house software for deployment in a company, some firmware or as a back-end for a service will be free. And even some of the latter will be free (see 'reddit').
So, I changed tack, way ahead of the pack I aimed at a service driven income stream rather than selling bits of software.
My then partner Michael saw it coming with great clarity and together with another guy called Paul (who was founder of one of the first ISPs in NL) they changed my future in a fairly dramatic way.
So if you haven't seen the elephant yet, maybe you need a higher ladder, but he's coming for sure. None of the 'old' ways of making money can be taken for granted. Read 'being digital' by Nicholas Negroponte if this hasn't convinced you.
It's old (by internet standards) but it is in many ways a visionary book. Far more so than Gates' 'the road ahead'.