> But is anyone daunted at the prospect of investing in one of these platforms, then having to pivot to the paradigm that emerges as the winner 3-5 years from now?
This will always be an issue if you’re an early adopter. The three mitigating calculations every case are: 1 - somebody* will probably be the “winner”, and could be it. 2 - between now and 3 years from now will you get enough value that it will be worth migrating to the eventual winner rather than doing without and 3 - three years from now you can just start new projects on the winning tech; most or all of the current projects will have withered and/or died anyway.
This will always be an issue if you’re an early adopter. The three mitigating calculations every case are: 1 - somebody* will probably be the “winner”, and could be it. 2 - between now and 3 years from now will you get enough value that it will be worth migrating to the eventual winner rather than doing without and 3 - three years from now you can just start new projects on the winning tech; most or all of the current projects will have withered and/or died anyway.