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> Statistics show that most software developers are out of the field by age 40.

Really? What statistics? And where do these statistics show the developers going? People don't just dry up and blow away at 40. They move to managerial positions. They start their own companies. They stay in jobs longer, so while you might see fewer of them being hired, that doesn't mean they're not still working in the field.

And there are simply not many older developers to begin with. How much of this effect is the fact that there are simply many more qualified developers under 35 than there are over 40, as the field wasn't as big and not as many people were getting training 20 years ago?

This article is high on anecdotal doom and gloom and low on actual evidence. "Statistics show" is not a very convincing argument.



I think you touched on the core of the issue here. How much has the market grown on the past 20 years? Quite a lot actually. As the market grows, more people gravitate towards it as a career choice, and they are mostly young people looking for career choices. 20 years from now, those people will be seniors in a highly competitive market where solutions grow in technical complexity day after day.

The only thing certain is that things will have changed by them from what they are currently.


Thanks for the good criticism.




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